Recent forecast models from Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris today under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning this as the leading market outcome with over 63% implied probability. This aligns with the cool, unstable pattern persisting through mid-May, where afternoon highs have struggled to exceed seasonal averages of 18–19°C amid lingering Atlantic influences and limited solar heating. Official observations through the morning show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 7–9°C, with model consensus holding firm against warmer scenarios that would require unexpected clearing. Traders are monitoring any final afternoon updates, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could nudge readings toward 15°C or 17°C before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 62%
15°C 29%
17°C 10%
14°C 1.3%
$73,566 Vol.
$73,566 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
29%
16°C
62%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
15°C 29%
17°C 10%
14°C 1.3%
$73,566 Vol.
$73,566 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,451 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$9,619 Vol.
1%
15°C
$8,640 Vol.
29%
16°C
$9,982 Vol.
62%
17°C
$9,290 Vol.
10%
18°C
$8,015 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11,306 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$4,027 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris today under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning this as the leading market outcome with over 63% implied probability. This aligns with the cool, unstable pattern persisting through mid-May, where afternoon highs have struggled to exceed seasonal averages of 18–19°C amid lingering Atlantic influences and limited solar heating. Official observations through the morning show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 7–9°C, with model consensus holding firm against warmer scenarios that would require unexpected clearing. Traders are monitoring any final afternoon updates, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could nudge readings toward 15°C or 17°C before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$73,566End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris today under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning this as the leading market outcome with over 63% implied probability. This aligns with the cool, unstable pattern persisting through mid-May, where afternoon highs have struggled to exceed seasonal averages of 18–19°C amid lingering Atlantic influences and limited solar heating. Official observations through the morning show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 7–9°C, with model consensus holding firm against warmer scenarios that would require unexpected clearing. Traders are monitoring any final afternoon updates, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could nudge readings toward 15°C or 17°C before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,566End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast models from Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris today under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning this as the leading market outcome with over 63% implied probability. This aligns with the cool, unstable pattern persisting through mid-May, where afternoon highs have struggled to exceed seasonal averages of 18–19°C amid lingering Atlantic influences and limited solar heating. Official observations through the morning show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 7–9°C, with model consensus holding firm against warmer scenarios that would require unexpected clearing. Traders are monitoring any final afternoon updates, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could nudge readings toward 15°C or 17°C before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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