Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 Vol.
$44,588 Vol.
May 16, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 Vol.
$44,588 Vol.
May 16, 2026
20°C or below
$4,884 Vol.
No
21°C
$22,769 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$3,590 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,786 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,603 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,070 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,010 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,081 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,000 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,469 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,325 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$44,588End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,588End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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