Forecast consensus from short-range models including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consistently projects daytime maxima of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes characteristic of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 30–31°C and low day-to-day variability, with no heat-wave signals or model outliers in current guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the mode because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent observations show temperatures tracking seasonal norms without anomalous warming. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Ben Gurion International Airport, with further model updates expected to refine the narrow probability band before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 9%
30°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 9%
30°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$15 Vol.
2%
29°C
$35 Vol.
2%
30°C
$143 Vol.
3%
31°C
$339 Vol.
33%
32°C
$711 Vol.
56%
33°C
$97 Vol.
9%
34°C
$105 Vol.
2%
35°C
$15 Vol.
2%
36°C
$10 Vol.
2%
37°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consistently projects daytime maxima of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes characteristic of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 30–31°C and low day-to-day variability, with no heat-wave signals or model outliers in current guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the mode because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent observations show temperatures tracking seasonal norms without anomalous warming. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Ben Gurion International Airport, with further model updates expected to refine the narrow probability band before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,148End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consistently projects daytime maxima of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes characteristic of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 30–31°C and low day-to-day variability, with no heat-wave signals or model outliers in current guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the mode because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent observations show temperatures tracking seasonal norms without anomalous warming. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Ben Gurion International Airport, with further model updates expected to refine the narrow probability band before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,148End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from short-range models including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consistently projects daytime maxima of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear skies, and moderating sea breezes characteristic of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 30–31°C and low day-to-day variability, with no heat-wave signals or model outliers in current guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the mode because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent observations show temperatures tracking seasonal norms without anomalous warming. Resolution will hinge on the official station reading at Ben Gurion International Airport, with further model updates expected to refine the narrow probability band before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions