Recent forecast model consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs near this level during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of limited upside or downside risk absent significant deviations in steering patterns or timing of the sea breeze. A stronger-than-expected easterly continental flow or delayed breeze could push readings to 31–32°C, while an earlier or more vigorous sea breeze might hold the peak at 28–29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,670 Vol.
$32,670 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,670 Vol.
$32,670 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
27°C or below
$3,150 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,435 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,781 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,459 Vol.
100%
31°C
$5,866 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,830 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$595 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$601 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$600 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs near this level during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of limited upside or downside risk absent significant deviations in steering patterns or timing of the sea breeze. A stronger-than-expected easterly continental flow or delayed breeze could push readings to 31–32°C, while an earlier or more vigorous sea breeze might hold the peak at 28–29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$32,670End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs near this level during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of limited upside or downside risk absent significant deviations in steering patterns or timing of the sea breeze. A stronger-than-expected easterly continental flow or delayed breeze could push readings to 31–32°C, while an earlier or more vigorous sea breeze might hold the peak at 28–29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,670End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs near this level during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of limited upside or downside risk absent significant deviations in steering patterns or timing of the sea breeze. A stronger-than-expected easterly continental flow or delayed breeze could push readings to 31–32°C, while an earlier or more vigorous sea breeze might hold the peak at 28–29°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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