Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Tel Aviv’s June 15 maximum near the 28–29 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. The dominant moderating influence is the Mediterranean sea breeze, whose timing and strength determine whether peak heating reaches the airport station before onshore flow arrives. Current model consensus shows modest synoptic support from a weak upper ridge, consistent with late-spring climatology where daily highs average 28–30 °C. Minor spread among ensembles stems from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual easterly flow that could briefly elevate readings by 1 °C. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models through the afternoon of June 14 will refine the final resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 49%
28°C 41%
30°C 5.5%
27°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
41%
29°C
49%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 41%
30°C 5.5%
27°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
25°C or below
$695 交易量
<1%
26°C
$906 交易量
<1%
27°C
$405 交易量
4%
28°C
$732 交易量
41%
29°C
$1,013 交易量
49%
30°C
$1,719 交易量
6%
31°C
$428 交易量
1%
32°C
$331 交易量
<1%
33°C
$634 交易量
<1%
34°C
$755 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$680 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Tel Aviv’s June 15 maximum near the 28–29 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. The dominant moderating influence is the Mediterranean sea breeze, whose timing and strength determine whether peak heating reaches the airport station before onshore flow arrives. Current model consensus shows modest synoptic support from a weak upper ridge, consistent with late-spring climatology where daily highs average 28–30 °C. Minor spread among ensembles stems from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual easterly flow that could briefly elevate readings by 1 °C. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models through the afternoon of June 14 will refine the final resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$8,279結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Tel Aviv’s June 15 maximum near the 28–29 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. The dominant moderating influence is the Mediterranean sea breeze, whose timing and strength determine whether peak heating reaches the airport station before onshore flow arrives. Current model consensus shows modest synoptic support from a weak upper ridge, consistent with late-spring climatology where daily highs average 28–30 °C. Minor spread among ensembles stems from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual easterly flow that could briefly elevate readings by 1 °C. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models through the afternoon of June 14 will refine the final resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,279結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Tel Aviv’s June 15 maximum near the 28–29 °C threshold, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. The dominant moderating influence is the Mediterranean sea breeze, whose timing and strength determine whether peak heating reaches the airport station before onshore flow arrives. Current model consensus shows modest synoptic support from a weak upper ridge, consistent with late-spring climatology where daily highs average 28–30 °C. Minor spread among ensembles stems from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual easterly flow that could briefly elevate readings by 1 °C. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models through the afternoon of June 14 will refine the final resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions