Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and the Israel Meteorological Service underpins the market's 100% implied probability on a 30°C maximum temperature in Tel Aviv for June 14. Typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, including moderate northwesterly flow and the moderating influence of the sea breeze, align with observed midday readings in the mid-20s°C and project a daily peak near this threshold, consistent with seasonal averages around 28–30°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, reinforcing trader conviction. A delayed or weakened sea breeze permitting stronger easterly continental airflow could push readings higher, while an earlier or more intense onshore breeze might cap the maximum at 28–29°C. Updated afternoon observations or revised short-range guidance will determine any late adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,479 交易量
$33,479 交易量
2026-06-14
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,479 交易量
$33,479 交易量
2026-06-14
27°C or below
$3,153 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,435 交易量
<1%
29°C
$7,781 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5,108 交易量
100%
31°C
$5,940 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,613 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,830 交易量
<1%
34°C
$823 交易量
<1%
35°C
$595 交易量
<1%
36°C
$601 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$600 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and the Israel Meteorological Service underpins the market's 100% implied probability on a 30°C maximum temperature in Tel Aviv for June 14. Typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, including moderate northwesterly flow and the moderating influence of the sea breeze, align with observed midday readings in the mid-20s°C and project a daily peak near this threshold, consistent with seasonal averages around 28–30°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, reinforcing trader conviction. A delayed or weakened sea breeze permitting stronger easterly continental airflow could push readings higher, while an earlier or more intense onshore breeze might cap the maximum at 28–29°C. Updated afternoon observations or revised short-range guidance will determine any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$33,479結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and the Israel Meteorological Service underpins the market's 100% implied probability on a 30°C maximum temperature in Tel Aviv for June 14. Typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, including moderate northwesterly flow and the moderating influence of the sea breeze, align with observed midday readings in the mid-20s°C and project a daily peak near this threshold, consistent with seasonal averages around 28–30°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, reinforcing trader conviction. A delayed or weakened sea breeze permitting stronger easterly continental airflow could push readings higher, while an earlier or more intense onshore breeze might cap the maximum at 28–29°C. Updated afternoon observations or revised short-range guidance will determine any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,479結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and the Israel Meteorological Service underpins the market's 100% implied probability on a 30°C maximum temperature in Tel Aviv for June 14. Typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, including moderate northwesterly flow and the moderating influence of the sea breeze, align with observed midday readings in the mid-20s°C and project a daily peak near this threshold, consistent with seasonal averages around 28–30°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, reinforcing trader conviction. A delayed or weakened sea breeze permitting stronger easterly continental airflow could push readings higher, while an earlier or more intense onshore breeze might cap the maximum at 28–29°C. Updated afternoon observations or revised short-range guidance will determine any late adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions