Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv will reach or exceed 35°C on May 17, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow transporting hot, dry air from inland desert regions. This setup aligns with historical May climatology, where maximums average near 28°C but have trended higher in recent years amid broader regional warming patterns. Ensemble models show tight agreement on afternoon highs well above 34°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected under the current synoptic conditions. While sudden wind shifts or increased humidity could temper readings by a degree or two, the current data strongly support the market's near-certain outcome for the 35°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,136 Vol.
$71,136 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,136 Vol.
$71,136 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,481 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,332 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,317 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,087 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,955 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,898 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,892 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$14,293 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv will reach or exceed 35°C on May 17, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow transporting hot, dry air from inland desert regions. This setup aligns with historical May climatology, where maximums average near 28°C but have trended higher in recent years amid broader regional warming patterns. Ensemble models show tight agreement on afternoon highs well above 34°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected under the current synoptic conditions. While sudden wind shifts or increased humidity could temper readings by a degree or two, the current data strongly support the market's near-certain outcome for the 35°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$71,136End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv will reach or exceed 35°C on May 17, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow transporting hot, dry air from inland desert regions. This setup aligns with historical May climatology, where maximums average near 28°C but have trended higher in recent years amid broader regional warming patterns. Ensemble models show tight agreement on afternoon highs well above 34°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected under the current synoptic conditions. While sudden wind shifts or increased humidity could temper readings by a degree or two, the current data strongly support the market's near-certain outcome for the 35°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,136End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv will reach or exceed 35°C on May 17, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow transporting hot, dry air from inland desert regions. This setup aligns with historical May climatology, where maximums average near 28°C but have trended higher in recent years amid broader regional warming patterns. Ensemble models show tight agreement on afternoon highs well above 34°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected under the current synoptic conditions. While sudden wind shifts or increased humidity could temper readings by a degree or two, the current data strongly support the market's near-certain outcome for the 35°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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