Forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 19?
28°C 26%
29°C 20%
27°C 16%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
6%
28°C 26%
29°C 20%
27°C 16%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
$86 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$25 Vol.
26%
29°C
$52 Vol.
23%
30°C
$100 Vol.
6%
31°C or higher
$103 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$401End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$401End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETForecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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