Stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe have kept Warsaw's daytime maxima near 20°C on June 12, consistent with June climatological averages and multiple European model runs showing limited variability in advection or cloud cover. Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station, the resolution source, align with this consensus, supporting the market's near-100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold-front passage or stronger insolation under clearer skies that could elevate readings by 1–2°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts low-probability before the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,903 交易量
$83,903 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,903 交易量
$83,903 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe have kept Warsaw's daytime maxima near 20°C on June 12, consistent with June climatological averages and multiple European model runs showing limited variability in advection or cloud cover. Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station, the resolution source, align with this consensus, supporting the market's near-100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold-front passage or stronger insolation under clearer skies that could elevate readings by 1–2°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts low-probability before the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions