US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled with only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, as Tehran continues to reject demands for a permanent end to uranium enrichment. Iranian officials have repeatedly described enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and have countered US proposals by offering only limited pauses or caps at low levels, while prioritizing sanctions relief and control over the Strait of Hormuz first. Recent indirect talks through mediators show no firm Iranian commitment to dismantle or fully suspend its program, consistent with longstanding positions upheld by the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the absence of any breakthrough and the significant diplomatic gaps that would need to close rapidly for agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$615,235 Vol.
$615,235 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$615,235 Vol.
$615,235 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled with only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, as Tehran continues to reject demands for a permanent end to uranium enrichment. Iranian officials have repeatedly described enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and have countered US proposals by offering only limited pauses or caps at low levels, while prioritizing sanctions relief and control over the Strait of Hormuz first. Recent indirect talks through mediators show no firm Iranian commitment to dismantle or fully suspend its program, consistent with longstanding positions upheld by the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the absence of any breakthrough and the significant diplomatic gaps that would need to close rapidly for agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$615,235End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled with only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, as Tehran continues to reject demands for a permanent end to uranium enrichment. Iranian officials have repeatedly described enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and have countered US proposals by offering only limited pauses or caps at low levels, while prioritizing sanctions relief and control over the Strait of Hormuz first. Recent indirect talks through mediators show no firm Iranian commitment to dismantle or fully suspend its program, consistent with longstanding positions upheld by the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the absence of any breakthrough and the significant diplomatic gaps that would need to close rapidly for agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$615,235End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled with only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, as Tehran continues to reject demands for a permanent end to uranium enrichment. Iranian officials have repeatedly described enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and have countered US proposals by offering only limited pauses or caps at low levels, while prioritizing sanctions relief and control over the Strait of Hormuz first. Recent indirect talks through mediators show no firm Iranian commitment to dismantle or fully suspend its program, consistent with longstanding positions upheld by the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran. Traders price the “No” outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the absence of any breakthrough and the significant diplomatic gaps that would need to close rapidly for agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions