Vice President JD Vance has led multiple rounds of high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad since April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced substantive discussion on Iran's nuclear program without a final agreement. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues toward meeting President Trump's red line of verifiable protections preventing Iranian nuclear weapons, even after Tehran’s latest proposal was rejected. These talks follow an early April ceasefire and involve U.S. envoys alongside Vance, with Qatari officials noting a high probability of an eventual deal. Trader focus remains on whether Vance will conduct another direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives before the market’s resolution date amid ongoing bilateral engagement on security and enrichment issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$123,979 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
9%
June 30
31%
$123,979 Vol.
May 31
$50,868 Vol.
9%
June 30
$17,272 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has led multiple rounds of high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad since April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced substantive discussion on Iran's nuclear program without a final agreement. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues toward meeting President Trump's red line of verifiable protections preventing Iranian nuclear weapons, even after Tehran’s latest proposal was rejected. These talks follow an early April ceasefire and involve U.S. envoys alongside Vance, with Qatari officials noting a high probability of an eventual deal. Trader focus remains on whether Vance will conduct another direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives before the market’s resolution date amid ongoing bilateral engagement on security and enrichment issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$123,979End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has led multiple rounds of high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad since April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced substantive discussion on Iran's nuclear program without a final agreement. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues toward meeting President Trump's red line of verifiable protections preventing Iranian nuclear weapons, even after Tehran’s latest proposal was rejected. These talks follow an early April ceasefire and involve U.S. envoys alongside Vance, with Qatari officials noting a high probability of an eventual deal. Trader focus remains on whether Vance will conduct another direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives before the market’s resolution date amid ongoing bilateral engagement on security and enrichment issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$123,979End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has led multiple rounds of high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad since April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced substantive discussion on Iran's nuclear program without a final agreement. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues toward meeting President Trump's red line of verifiable protections preventing Iranian nuclear weapons, even after Tehran’s latest proposal was rejected. These talks follow an early April ceasefire and involve U.S. envoys alongside Vance, with Qatari officials noting a high probability of an eventual deal. Trader focus remains on whether Vance will conduct another direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives before the market’s resolution date amid ongoing bilateral engagement on security and enrichment issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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