Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a nighttime minimum near 25–26°C in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, consistent with the market's leading 26°C outcome. In this equatorial setting, high humidity and frequent convective cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping overnight lows close to the September climatological average of 24°C. Differentiation among nearby thresholds hinges on subtle variables such as reduced cloud cover allowing greater longwave heat loss, localized rainfall timing, or urban heat island effects that can raise or suppress the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Historical records show September lows rarely dip below 21°C, underscoring why probabilities cluster tightly around typical values while lower outliers reflect model spread and verification uncertainty at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 14?
19°C or below 97%
23°C 92%
24°C 89%
20°C 16%
19°C or below
97%
20°C
16%
21°C
15%
22°C
15%
23°C
92%
24°C
89%
25°C
47%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 97%
23°C 92%
24°C 89%
20°C 16%
19°C or below
97%
20°C
16%
21°C
15%
22°C
15%
23°C
92%
24°C
89%
25°C
47%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a nighttime minimum near 25–26°C in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, consistent with the market's leading 26°C outcome. In this equatorial setting, high humidity and frequent convective cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping overnight lows close to the September climatological average of 24°C. Differentiation among nearby thresholds hinges on subtle variables such as reduced cloud cover allowing greater longwave heat loss, localized rainfall timing, or urban heat island effects that can raise or suppress the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Historical records show September lows rarely dip below 21°C, underscoring why probabilities cluster tightly around typical values while lower outliers reflect model spread and verification uncertainty at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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