Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$62,314 Vol.
$62,314 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$62,314 Vol.
$62,314 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
$3,000 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,861 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,426 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,440 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$6,849 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,849 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,138 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,002 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,679 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,257 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,811 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$62,314End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,314End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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