Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 94.8%
27°C 5.1%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,845 交易量
$43,845 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
95%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 94.8%
27°C 5.1%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,845 交易量
$43,845 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
$6,340 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,321 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,940 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,561 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,604 交易量
<1%
25°C
$10,012 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,598 交易量
95%
27°C
$2,462 交易量
5%
28°C
$3,583 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,468 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,063 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$43,845结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,845结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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