Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,697 Vol.
$17,697 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,697 Vol.
$17,697 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
$587 Vol.
No
8°C
$156 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,087 Vol.
No
10°C
$171 Vol.
No
11°C
$242 Vol.
No
12°C
$373 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,456 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$9,869 Vol.
No
15°C
$298 Vol.
No
16°C
$210 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$249 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$17,697End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,697End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 likely falling to 9–11°C overnight amid clearing conditions, strong northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity after daytime highs near 14°C. This aligns with historical late-August averages of 8–12°C but positions cooler outcomes like 10°C or 11°C as scientifically plausible based on current observations near 13°C and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus favoring 13°C at over 50% implied probability reflects the day's observed floor so far, limited further cooling potential from wind mixing, and uncertainty in exact overnight radiative cooling before resolution. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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