Skip to main content
icon for Next Prime Minister of Slovenia
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

icon for Next Prime Minister of Slovenia
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Janez Janša 93.7%

Anže Logar 1.5%

Jernej Vrtovec <1%

Robert Golob <1%

Polymarket

$3,024,188 Vol.

Janez Janša 93.7%

Anže Logar 1.5%

Jernej Vrtovec <1%

Robert Golob <1%

Polymarket

$3,024,188 Vol.

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$777,750 Vol.

94%

icon for Anže Logar

Anže Logar

$991,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Jernej Vrtovec

Jernej Vrtovec

$228,625 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert Golob

Robert Golob

$658,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Prebilič

Vladimir Prebilič

$181,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luka Mesec

Luka Mesec

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matjaž Han

Matjaž Han

$20,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$18,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoran Stevanović

Zoran Stevanović

$137,240 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The collapse of coalition negotiations following Slovenia’s March 2026 parliamentary elections has positioned Janez Janša of the Slovenian Democratic Party to seek a centre-right majority in the National Assembly. Outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob’s Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality but could not assemble the required 46 seats, prompting the president to open a second mandate round in which Janša is now leading talks with smaller conservative and centre-right partners. Recent procedural steps, including amendments reducing ministries, have further strengthened his hand among traders. While Janša holds a commanding implied probability near 94 percent, a failure to lock in sufficient votes or a shift toward fresh elections could still open the path for alternatives such as Anže Logar or Jernej Vrtovec.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,024,188
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The collapse of coalition negotiations following Slovenia’s March 2026 parliamentary elections has positioned Janez Janša of the Slovenian Democratic Party to seek a centre-right majority in the National Assembly. Outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob’s Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality but could not assemble the required 46 seats, prompting the president to open a second mandate round in which Janša is now leading talks with smaller conservative and centre-right partners. Recent procedural steps, including amendments reducing ministries, have further strengthened his hand among traders. While Janša holds a commanding implied probability near 94 percent, a failure to lock in sufficient votes or a shift toward fresh elections could still open the path for alternatives such as Anže Logar or Jernej Vrtovec.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,024,188
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

98%
icon for Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?

Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?

95%
icon for Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

74%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janez Janša" at 94%, followed by "Anže Logar" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is "Janez Janša" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anže Logar" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.