Recent allegations of domestic abuse against incumbent Republican Max Miller, including claims from his ex-wife in a custody dispute, have drawn ethics scrutiny and prompted calls from some Ohio Republicans for him to withdraw. With the candidate replacement deadline passed, Miller remains on the ballot despite reduced party enthusiasm. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has gained ground in polling averages showing a lead in the Trump-won district, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program and shift nonpartisan ratings to toss-up status. Traders' consensus appears to weigh these developments as durable challenges for the Republican hold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-07 House Election Winner
OH-07 House Election Winner
$57,403 Vol.
$57,403 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Poindexter (D)
78%
Max Miller (R)
21%
$57,403 Vol.
$57,403 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Poindexter (D)
$36,743 Vol.
78%
Max Miller (R)
$20,660 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent allegations of domestic abuse against incumbent Republican Max Miller, including claims from his ex-wife in a custody dispute, have drawn ethics scrutiny and prompted calls from some Ohio Republicans for him to withdraw. With the candidate replacement deadline passed, Miller remains on the ballot despite reduced party enthusiasm. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has gained ground in polling averages showing a lead in the Trump-won district, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program and shift nonpartisan ratings to toss-up status. Traders' consensus appears to weigh these developments as durable challenges for the Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$57,403End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent allegations of domestic abuse against incumbent Republican Max Miller, including claims from his ex-wife in a custody dispute, have drawn ethics scrutiny and prompted calls from some Ohio Republicans for him to withdraw. With the candidate replacement deadline passed, Miller remains on the ballot despite reduced party enthusiasm. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has gained ground in polling averages showing a lead in the Trump-won district, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program and shift nonpartisan ratings to toss-up status. Traders' consensus appears to weigh these developments as durable challenges for the Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,403End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent allegations of domestic abuse against incumbent Republican Max Miller, including claims from his ex-wife in a custody dispute, have drawn ethics scrutiny and prompted calls from some Ohio Republicans for him to withdraw. With the candidate replacement deadline passed, Miller remains on the ballot despite reduced party enthusiasm. Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, has gained ground in polling averages showing a lead in the Trump-won district, prompting the DCCC to add him to its Red to Blue program and shift nonpartisan ratings to toss-up status. Traders' consensus appears to weigh these developments as durable challenges for the Republican hold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions