Fatima Shaban secured the Ontario NDP nomination in April 2026 for the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election triggered by Doly Begum’s February resignation to contest the federal riding as a Liberal. Shaban’s repeated candidacies in prior federal votes in the riding, combined with the NDP’s hold on the seat since 2018 and emphasis on affordability and housing issues, positioned her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 3 vote against Liberal Ahsanul Hafiz and Progressive Conservative Noor Tarun. Official results confirmed her win with roughly 40 percent of the vote. Trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the completed count and lack of disputes. Late certification challenges or recounts remain the only realistic factors that could still shift the outcome before final resolution.