Recent polling averages placed the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) firmly between 6% and 7% through mid-2026, consistent with its 6.7% result in the 2022 election and reflecting steady support among rural and liberal-leaning voters amid a campaign dominated by bloc competition between the Tidö parties and the red-green opposition. The September 13 parliamentary election produced a final 7.03% share for C, yielding 25 seats and aligning precisely with trader expectations. With vote counting now complete, the outcome reflects the absence of late swings or threshold-related volatility that affected smaller parties. A narrow reversal into the 5-7% band would require substantial adjustments from remaining overseas or postal ballots, an outcome traders assess as remote given the margin of completed counts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7-9% 99.2%
5-7% 1.9%
<5% <1%
9%+ <1%
$47,989 Vol.
$47,989 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
No
5-7%
No
7-9%
Yes
9%+
No
7-9% 99.2%
5-7% 1.9%
<5% <1%
9%+ <1%
$47,989 Vol.
$47,989 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
$9,232 Vol.
No
5-7%
$12,167 Vol.
No
7-9%
$15,297 Vol.
Yes
9%+
$11,293 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages placed the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) firmly between 6% and 7% through mid-2026, consistent with its 6.7% result in the 2022 election and reflecting steady support among rural and liberal-leaning voters amid a campaign dominated by bloc competition between the Tidö parties and the red-green opposition. The September 13 parliamentary election produced a final 7.03% share for C, yielding 25 seats and aligning precisely with trader expectations. With vote counting now complete, the outcome reflects the absence of late swings or threshold-related volatility that affected smaller parties. A narrow reversal into the 5-7% band would require substantial adjustments from remaining overseas or postal ballots, an outcome traders assess as remote given the margin of completed counts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$47,989End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages placed the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) firmly between 6% and 7% through mid-2026, consistent with its 6.7% result in the 2022 election and reflecting steady support among rural and liberal-leaning voters amid a campaign dominated by bloc competition between the Tidö parties and the red-green opposition. The September 13 parliamentary election produced a final 7.03% share for C, yielding 25 seats and aligning precisely with trader expectations. With vote counting now complete, the outcome reflects the absence of late swings or threshold-related volatility that affected smaller parties. A narrow reversal into the 5-7% band would require substantial adjustments from remaining overseas or postal ballots, an outcome traders assess as remote given the margin of completed counts.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$47,989End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent polling averages placed the Centre Party (Centerpartiet) firmly between 6% and 7% through mid-2026, consistent with its 6.7% result in the 2022 election and reflecting steady support among rural and liberal-leaning voters amid a campaign dominated by bloc competition between the Tidö parties and the red-green opposition. The September 13 parliamentary election produced a final 7.03% share for C, yielding 25 seats and aligning precisely with trader expectations. With vote counting now complete, the outcome reflects the absence of late swings or threshold-related volatility that affected smaller parties. A narrow reversal into the 5-7% band would require substantial adjustments from remaining overseas or postal ballots, an outcome traders assess as remote given the margin of completed counts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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