Recent pre-election polling consistently placed Miljöpartiet support in the 5–7 percent range, with surveys from late August through early September 2026 showing figures between 5.6 and 8.0 percent and most clustering near 6–7 percent. This stability reflected the party’s established voter base within the red-green opposition bloc, turnout patterns, and limited volatility on environmental and climate issues. Preliminary and final Riksdag results confirmed a 6.12 percent share, aligning with trader consensus. Late-counted overseas or advance ballots, formal certification delays, or rare disputes over seat allocation could theoretically shift the precise figure, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments rarely move outcomes outside the 5–7 percent band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5-7% 100.0%
<5% <1%
7-9% <1%
9%+ <1%
$59,937 Vol.
$59,937 Vol.
<5%
No
5-7%
Yes
7-9%
No
9%+
No
5-7% 100.0%
<5% <1%
7-9% <1%
9%+ <1%
$59,937 Vol.
$59,937 Vol.
<5%
No
5-7%
Yes
7-9%
No
9%+
No
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent pre-election polling consistently placed Miljöpartiet support in the 5–7 percent range, with surveys from late August through early September 2026 showing figures between 5.6 and 8.0 percent and most clustering near 6–7 percent. This stability reflected the party’s established voter base within the red-green opposition bloc, turnout patterns, and limited volatility on environmental and climate issues. Preliminary and final Riksdag results confirmed a 6.12 percent share, aligning with trader consensus. Late-counted overseas or advance ballots, formal certification delays, or rare disputes over seat allocation could theoretically shift the precise figure, though historical precedent indicates such adjustments rarely move outcomes outside the 5–7 percent band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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