Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 features a closely contested race between the centre-left opposition and the incumbent right-wing bloc, with recent polls showing narrow gaps that typically encourage higher participation. Historical turnout has averaged around 84 percent in recent cycles, including 84.2 percent in 2022, and analysts project a similar range for 2026 amid stable institutional trust and proportional representation rules. Record advance voting—up 40 percent from the prior election—signals strong mobilization driven by salient domestic issues such as healthcare, welfare services, and security policy. These elements align with trader consensus centering on the 84-86 percent band as the most probable outcome, reflecting continuity in Swedish voting patterns rather than sharp shifts from external shocks or procedural changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout
84-86% 50%
86-88% 23%
82-84% 16%
88%+ 8%
<82%
1%
82-84%
16%
84-86%
50%
86-88%
23%
88%+
8%
84-86% 50%
86-88% 23%
82-84% 16%
88%+ 8%
<82%
1%
82-84%
16%
84-86%
50%
86-88%
23%
88%+
8%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 features a closely contested race between the centre-left opposition and the incumbent right-wing bloc, with recent polls showing narrow gaps that typically encourage higher participation. Historical turnout has averaged around 84 percent in recent cycles, including 84.2 percent in 2022, and analysts project a similar range for 2026 amid stable institutional trust and proportional representation rules. Record advance voting—up 40 percent from the prior election—signals strong mobilization driven by salient domestic issues such as healthcare, welfare services, and security policy. These elements align with trader consensus centering on the 84-86 percent band as the most probable outcome, reflecting continuity in Swedish voting patterns rather than sharp shifts from external shocks or procedural changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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