President Trump’s February 2026 directive to declassify government records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial matters triggered immediate market movement, with the Pentagon delivering the first batch of never-before-seen files on May 8 via the new war.gov/ufo portal. That initial tranche includes pilot reports, photographs, and video of metallic spheres, triangular craft, and lunar anomalies, framed by officials as the start of a rolling disclosure process expected to continue with additional releases every few weeks. Traders are watching for the pace and substance of future drops, as the administration has signaled ongoing coordination across agencies to review decades of paper and digital records. Historical precedent shows limited prior transparency on the topic, giving the current effort outsized visibility in pop-culture and conspiracy circles, while the public portal format lowers barriers for scrutiny and could sustain momentum ahead of any upcoming tranches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
May 22, 2026
May 22
30%
May 31
51%
December 31
85%
$492 Vol.
May 22
$213 Vol.
30%
May 31
$4 Vol.
51%
December 31
$274 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive to declassify government records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial matters triggered immediate market movement, with the Pentagon delivering the first batch of never-before-seen files on May 8 via the new war.gov/ufo portal. That initial tranche includes pilot reports, photographs, and video of metallic spheres, triangular craft, and lunar anomalies, framed by officials as the start of a rolling disclosure process expected to continue with additional releases every few weeks. Traders are watching for the pace and substance of future drops, as the administration has signaled ongoing coordination across agencies to review decades of paper and digital records. Historical precedent shows limited prior transparency on the topic, giving the current effort outsized visibility in pop-culture and conspiracy circles, while the public portal format lowers barriers for scrutiny and could sustain momentum ahead of any upcoming tranches.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$492End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive to declassify government records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial matters triggered immediate market movement, with the Pentagon delivering the first batch of never-before-seen files on May 8 via the new war.gov/ufo portal. That initial tranche includes pilot reports, photographs, and video of metallic spheres, triangular craft, and lunar anomalies, framed by officials as the start of a rolling disclosure process expected to continue with additional releases every few weeks. Traders are watching for the pace and substance of future drops, as the administration has signaled ongoing coordination across agencies to review decades of paper and digital records. Historical precedent shows limited prior transparency on the topic, giving the current effort outsized visibility in pop-culture and conspiracy circles, while the public portal format lowers barriers for scrutiny and could sustain momentum ahead of any upcoming tranches.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$492End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s February 2026 directive to declassify government records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial matters triggered immediate market movement, with the Pentagon delivering the first batch of never-before-seen files on May 8 via the new war.gov/ufo portal. That initial tranche includes pilot reports, photographs, and video of metallic spheres, triangular craft, and lunar anomalies, framed by officials as the start of a rolling disclosure process expected to continue with additional releases every few weeks. Traders are watching for the pace and substance of future drops, as the administration has signaled ongoing coordination across agencies to review decades of paper and digital records. Historical precedent shows limited prior transparency on the topic, giving the current effort outsized visibility in pop-culture and conspiracy circles, while the public portal format lowers barriers for scrutiny and could sustain momentum ahead of any upcoming tranches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions