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icon for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Politics·Middle East

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

icon for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Politics·Middle East

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,648,601 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,648,601 Vol.

Polymarket

Somaliland

$117,067 Vol.

9%

Egypt

$7,413 Vol.

8%

Kuwait

$73,449 Vol.

8%

Syria

$164,512 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$9,898 Vol.

7%

Lebanon

$76,950 Vol.

7%

Saudi Arabia

$335,867 Vol.

6%

Qatar

$8,773 Vol.

5%

Azerbaijan

$175,739 Vol.

5%

Oman

$182,119 Vol.

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Turkey

$487,763 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on U.S.-facilitated upgrades to existing ties, such as the September 2026 agreement advancing full embassies and direct flights between Israel and Morocco by year-end. Israeli officials have highlighted Kuwait as a plausible next signatory within four to six months, citing shared security concerns from regional threats. President Trump has conditioned a Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation deal on Riyadh's normalization via the Accords and publicly urged simultaneous accessions by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others, while Saudi statements continue to link any step to Palestinian statehood progress. These signals, alongside quiet security coordination against Iran-backed groups, shape trader assessments of near-term expansion prospects before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,648,601
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on U.S.-facilitated upgrades to existing ties, such as the September 2026 agreement advancing full embassies and direct flights between Israel and Morocco by year-end. Israeli officials have highlighted Kuwait as a plausible next signatory within four to six months, citing shared security concerns from regional threats. President Trump has conditioned a Saudi civilian nuclear cooperation deal on Riyadh's normalization via the Accords and publicly urged simultaneous accessions by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others, while Saudi statements continue to link any step to Palestinian statehood progress. These signals, alongside quiet security coordination against Iran-backed groups, shape trader assessments of near-term expansion prospects before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,648,601
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Somaliland" at 9%, followed by "Egypt" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" is "Somaliland" at just 9%, with "Egypt" close behind at 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.