Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan following the inconclusive April 2026 talks in Islamabad, continue to shape expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Senior US envoys including Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner have participated in prior rounds alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with recent exchanges centering on a US peace proposal that Iran is reviewing amid demands for sanctions relief, a sustained ceasefire, and stability in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have indicated no immediate direct meeting is scheduled, while US statements emphasize the need for progress on nuclear verification and security assurances. These developments, including Iran's formal response submitted via Pakistan in mid-May 2026, highlight the role of third-party facilitators and unresolved sticking points in determining attendance by key figures from either side.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,186,437 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
26%
Jared Kushner
41%
Steve Witkoff
45%
$1,186,437 Vol.
Donald Trump
$216,553 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$90,748 Vol.
9%
J.D. Vance
$653,671 Vol.
26%
Jared Kushner
$123,815 Vol.
41%
Steve Witkoff
$101,681 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan following the inconclusive April 2026 talks in Islamabad, continue to shape expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Senior US envoys including Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner have participated in prior rounds alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with recent exchanges centering on a US peace proposal that Iran is reviewing amid demands for sanctions relief, a sustained ceasefire, and stability in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have indicated no immediate direct meeting is scheduled, while US statements emphasize the need for progress on nuclear verification and security assurances. These developments, including Iran's formal response submitted via Pakistan in mid-May 2026, highlight the role of third-party facilitators and unresolved sticking points in determining attendance by key figures from either side.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$1,186,437End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan following the inconclusive April 2026 talks in Islamabad, continue to shape expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Senior US envoys including Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner have participated in prior rounds alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with recent exchanges centering on a US peace proposal that Iran is reviewing amid demands for sanctions relief, a sustained ceasefire, and stability in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have indicated no immediate direct meeting is scheduled, while US statements emphasize the need for progress on nuclear verification and security assurances. These developments, including Iran's formal response submitted via Pakistan in mid-May 2026, highlight the role of third-party facilitators and unresolved sticking points in determining attendance by key figures from either side.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,186,437End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan following the inconclusive April 2026 talks in Islamabad, continue to shape expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. Senior US envoys including Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner have participated in prior rounds alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with recent exchanges centering on a US peace proposal that Iran is reviewing amid demands for sanctions relief, a sustained ceasefire, and stability in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have indicated no immediate direct meeting is scheduled, while US statements emphasize the need for progress on nuclear verification and security assurances. These developments, including Iran's formal response submitted via Pakistan in mid-May 2026, highlight the role of third-party facilitators and unresolved sticking points in determining attendance by key figures from either side.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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