Skip to main content
icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 11.8%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$26,855 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 11.8%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$26,855 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,641 Vol.

70%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,821 Vol.

23%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,267 Vol.

12%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 Vol.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns Paul St-Pierre Plamondon the leading probability of becoming Quebec's next premier ahead of the October 2026 general election, reflecting the Parti Québécois's sustained polling advantage in francophone ridings that historically deliver disproportionate National Assembly seats. Recent surveys show the PQ holding or regaining a narrow lead over the Quebec Liberal Party under Charles Milliard, while the Coalition Avenir Québec under new Premier Christine Fréchette contends with voter fatigue following François Legault's departure. Plamondon's recent emphasis on expanded international diplomacy and concerns over federal relations have kept the campaign focused on sovereignty-related themes, positioning the PQ as the frontrunner in a fragmented field.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,855
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns Paul St-Pierre Plamondon the leading probability of becoming Quebec's next premier ahead of the October 2026 general election, reflecting the Parti Québécois's sustained polling advantage in francophone ridings that historically deliver disproportionate National Assembly seats. Recent surveys show the PQ holding or regaining a narrow lead over the Quebec Liberal Party under Charles Milliard, while the Coalition Avenir Québec under new Premier Christine Fréchette contends with voter fatigue following François Legault's departure. Plamondon's recent emphasis on expanded international diplomacy and concerns over federal relations have kept the campaign focused on sovereignty-related themes, positioning the PQ as the frontrunner in a fragmented field.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,855
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Next Premier of Quebec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 70%, suivi de « Charles Milliard » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 70¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Premier of Quebec » a généré $26.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Premier of Quebec », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Premier of Quebec » est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 70%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Charles Milliard » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Premier of Quebec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.