United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with federal leadership, combined with strong performance in the concurrent national Duma vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—has historically favored established parties with broad organizational reach and candidate registration advantages. Recent developments, including candidate nominations across all districts and alignment with national voting patterns showing United Russia securing majorities in similar regions, reinforce this positioning. Other parties face structural barriers such as lower visibility and vote thresholds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant late adjustments in vote tabulation or unexpected legal resolutions, though historical precedent indicates limited impact on the frontrunner's seat plurality.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 97.2%
LDPR 2.1%
A Just Russia <1%
The Greens <1%
$9,826 Vol.
$9,826 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
97%
LDPR
2%
A Just Russia
1%
The Greens
<1%
CPRF
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
New People
<1%
Rodina
<1%
United Russia 97.2%
LDPR 2.1%
A Just Russia <1%
The Greens <1%
$9,826 Vol.
$9,826 Vol.
2026/09/20
United Russia
$4,568 Vol.
97%
LDPR
$987 Vol.
2%
A Just Russia
$1,386 Vol.
1%
The Greens
$535 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$585 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$668 Vol.
<1%
New People
$509 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$588 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with federal leadership, combined with strong performance in the concurrent national Duma vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—has historically favored established parties with broad organizational reach and candidate registration advantages. Recent developments, including candidate nominations across all districts and alignment with national voting patterns showing United Russia securing majorities in similar regions, reinforce this positioning. Other parties face structural barriers such as lower visibility and vote thresholds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant late adjustments in vote tabulation or unexpected legal resolutions, though historical precedent indicates limited impact on the frontrunner's seat plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
音量
$9,826終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with federal leadership, combined with strong performance in the concurrent national Duma vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—has historically favored established parties with broad organizational reach and candidate registration advantages. Recent developments, including candidate nominations across all districts and alignment with national voting patterns showing United Russia securing majorities in similar regions, reinforce this positioning. Other parties face structural barriers such as lower visibility and vote thresholds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant late adjustments in vote tabulation or unexpected legal resolutions, though historical precedent indicates limited impact on the frontrunner's seat plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$9,826終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party aligned with federal leadership, combined with strong performance in the concurrent national Duma vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation and half single-member districts—has historically favored established parties with broad organizational reach and candidate registration advantages. Recent developments, including candidate nominations across all districts and alignment with national voting patterns showing United Russia securing majorities in similar regions, reinforce this positioning. Other parties face structural barriers such as lower visibility and vote thresholds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include significant late adjustments in vote tabulation or unexpected legal resolutions, though historical precedent indicates limited impact on the frontrunner's seat plurality.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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