United Russia is projected to finish first with around 57 percent in the September 2026 State Duma elections, while the Communist Party of the Russian Federation holds second place near 14 percent based on exit polls and early returns. This positioning leaves the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) as the clear frontrunner for third, with support near 9 percent edging out New People at roughly 8 percent. LDPR has benefited from its established nationalist platform, regional organization, and consistent performance among systemic opposition parties, while New People has shown variability in pre-election surveys. Yabloko's exclusion from the ballot and the five-percent threshold further narrow the contest among registered parties, aligning trader consensus with the emerging vote shares that favor LDPR for the third slot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 92%
New People (NL) 8%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$243,853 Vol.
$243,853 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
89%

New People (NL)
8%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 92%
New People (NL) 8%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$243,853 Vol.
$243,853 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
89%

New People (NL)
8%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia is projected to finish first with around 57 percent in the September 2026 State Duma elections, while the Communist Party of the Russian Federation holds second place near 14 percent based on exit polls and early returns. This positioning leaves the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) as the clear frontrunner for third, with support near 9 percent edging out New People at roughly 8 percent. LDPR has benefited from its established nationalist platform, regional organization, and consistent performance among systemic opposition parties, while New People has shown variability in pre-election surveys. Yabloko's exclusion from the ballot and the five-percent threshold further narrow the contest among registered parties, aligning trader consensus with the emerging vote shares that favor LDPR for the third slot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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