United Russia holds a commanding position in the Saint Petersburg Legislative Assembly election market due to its decisive lead in the just-concluded three-day voting period from 18 to 20 September 2026. Preliminary counts and exit polls show the party securing roughly 55-58% of the proportional representation vote, well above the 5% threshold and ahead of competitors such as New People, LDPR, and CPRF. This outcome aligns with the party's established regional organization, single-mandate district strength, and national momentum in the concurrent State Duma contest. Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a United Russia win because the margin exceeds historical patterns for opposition breakthroughs. Late official adjustments, successful legal challenges to results, or unusually high invalid ballots remain the primary low-probability factors that could alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 98.9%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
The Greens <1%
新規
新規
2027/07/31
United Russia
99%
LDPR
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
The Greens
<1%
CPRF
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 98.9%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
The Greens <1%
新規
新規
2027/07/31
United Russia
$6,077 Vol.
99%
LDPR
$705 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$684 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$783 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$774 Vol.
<1%
New People
$622 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Saint Petersburg Legislative Assembly election market due to its decisive lead in the just-concluded three-day voting period from 18 to 20 September 2026. Preliminary counts and exit polls show the party securing roughly 55-58% of the proportional representation vote, well above the 5% threshold and ahead of competitors such as New People, LDPR, and CPRF. This outcome aligns with the party's established regional organization, single-mandate district strength, and national momentum in the concurrent State Duma contest. Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a United Russia win because the margin exceeds historical patterns for opposition breakthroughs. Late official adjustments, successful legal challenges to results, or unusually high invalid ballots remain the primary low-probability factors that could alter resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
音量
$9,644終了日
2027/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Saint Petersburg Legislative Assembly election market due to its decisive lead in the just-concluded three-day voting period from 18 to 20 September 2026. Preliminary counts and exit polls show the party securing roughly 55-58% of the proportional representation vote, well above the 5% threshold and ahead of competitors such as New People, LDPR, and CPRF. This outcome aligns with the party's established regional organization, single-mandate district strength, and national momentum in the concurrent State Duma contest. Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a United Russia win because the margin exceeds historical patterns for opposition breakthroughs. Late official adjustments, successful legal challenges to results, or unusually high invalid ballots remain the primary low-probability factors that could alter resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Saint Petersburg serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Saint Petersburg and Russia, including the Election Commission of Saint Petersburg and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$9,644終了日
2027/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Saint Petersburg Legislative Assembly election market due to its decisive lead in the just-concluded three-day voting period from 18 to 20 September 2026. Preliminary counts and exit polls show the party securing roughly 55-58% of the proportional representation vote, well above the 5% threshold and ahead of competitors such as New People, LDPR, and CPRF. This outcome aligns with the party's established regional organization, single-mandate district strength, and national momentum in the concurrent State Duma contest. Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a United Russia win because the margin exceeds historical patterns for opposition breakthroughs. Late official adjustments, successful legal challenges to results, or unusually high invalid ballots remain the primary low-probability factors that could alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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