Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 Wol.
$18,446 Wol.
May 13, 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 Wol.
$18,446 Wol.
May 13, 2026
43°F or below
$1,320 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$2,001 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$1,484 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$1,668 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$1,373 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$2,033 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$5,120 Wol.
Yes
56-57°F
$849 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$542 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$1,237 Wol.
No
62°F or higher
$818 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,446Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$18,446Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania