US military actions in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics operations and pressure against the Maduro government, culminating in a January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on federal narco-terrorism charges. The brief strike suppressed air defenses, extracted the targets to a US warship, and prompted Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president amid a declared state of emergency. Subsequent administration statements have referenced potential oversight of Venezuelan oil infrastructure and sanctions relief tied to energy cooperation, while regional naval deployments and prior maritime interdictions established the operational pattern. Ongoing factors include congressional oversight of any extended US presence, international reactions at the UN and OAS, and Venezuela's internal security arrangements under the interim leadership. These elements shape assessments of whether additional US force entries occur within specified future windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,298,270 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
June 30
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military actions in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics operations and pressure against the Maduro government, culminating in a January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on federal narco-terrorism charges. The brief strike suppressed air defenses, extracted the targets to a US warship, and prompted Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president amid a declared state of emergency. Subsequent administration statements have referenced potential oversight of Venezuelan oil infrastructure and sanctions relief tied to energy cooperation, while regional naval deployments and prior maritime interdictions established the operational pattern. Ongoing factors include congressional oversight of any extended US presence, international reactions at the UN and OAS, and Venezuela's internal security arrangements under the interim leadership. These elements shape assessments of whether additional US force entries occur within specified future windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military actions in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics operations and pressure against the Maduro government, culminating in a January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on federal narco-terrorism charges. The brief strike suppressed air defenses, extracted the targets to a US warship, and prompted Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president amid a declared state of emergency. Subsequent administration statements have referenced potential oversight of Venezuelan oil infrastructure and sanctions relief tied to energy cooperation, while regional naval deployments and prior maritime interdictions established the operational pattern. Ongoing factors include congressional oversight of any extended US presence, international reactions at the UN and OAS, and Venezuela's internal security arrangements under the interim leadership. These elements shape assessments of whether additional US force entries occur within specified future windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military actions in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics operations and pressure against the Maduro government, culminating in a January 3, 2026, special operations raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on federal narco-terrorism charges. The brief strike suppressed air defenses, extracted the targets to a US warship, and prompted Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president amid a declared state of emergency. Subsequent administration statements have referenced potential oversight of Venezuelan oil infrastructure and sanctions relief tied to energy cooperation, while regional naval deployments and prior maritime interdictions established the operational pattern. Ongoing factors include congressional oversight of any extended US presence, international reactions at the UN and OAS, and Venezuela's internal security arrangements under the interim leadership. These elements shape assessments of whether additional US force entries occur within specified future windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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