Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlfredo Gaspar 100.0%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.

Marcos Pontes
Não

Rogério Marinho
Não

Tereza Cristina
Não

Simone Marquetto
Não

Clarissa Tércio
Não

Daniella Marques
Não

Damares Alves
Não

Renata Abreu
Não

Gilson Machado
Não

Michelle Bolsonaro
Não

Alfredo Gaspar
Sim

Bia Kicis
Não

Júlia Zanatta
Não

Priscila Costa
Não

Rosana Valle
Não
Alfredo Gaspar 100.0%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Rogério Marinho <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
$37,419 Vol.
$37,419 Vol.

Marcos Pontes
Não

Rogério Marinho
Não

Tereza Cristina
Não

Simone Marquetto
Não

Clarissa Tércio
Não

Daniella Marques
Não

Damares Alves
Não

Renata Abreu
Não

Gilson Machado
Não

Michelle Bolsonaro
Não

Alfredo Gaspar
Sim

Bia Kicis
Não

Júlia Zanatta
Não

Priscila Costa
Não

Rosana Valle
Não
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement of Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026, has driven the near-certain trader consensus on this Liberal Party ticket for Brazil’s October presidential election. Weeks of internal party discussions and unsuccessful outreach to centrist or female candidates from other right-leaning parties left Gaspar, a first-term federal deputy from Alagoas and former prosecutor, as the selected choice to strengthen regional ties in the northeast. The formal nomination ended speculation and aligned with the campaign’s focus on continuity within the PL. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a withdrawal or major legal ruling altering eligibility before the vote, could realistically shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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