US military operations against Venezuela reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, amid prior naval deployments and counter-narcotics strikes in the Caribbean. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency under a declared state of emergency, while the United States maintains regional naval and air assets without sustaining ground presence in the country. Traders assess future entry risks against ongoing US priorities on oil sector stabilization, sanctions adjustments, and regional security cooperation, alongside Venezuelan internal developments and potential diplomatic or congressional constraints on further actions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,298,270 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
June 30
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Venezuela reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, amid prior naval deployments and counter-narcotics strikes in the Caribbean. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency under a declared state of emergency, while the United States maintains regional naval and air assets without sustaining ground presence in the country. Traders assess future entry risks against ongoing US priorities on oil sector stabilization, sanctions adjustments, and regional security cooperation, alongside Venezuelan internal developments and potential diplomatic or congressional constraints on further actions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Venezuela reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, amid prior naval deployments and counter-narcotics strikes in the Caribbean. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency under a declared state of emergency, while the United States maintains regional naval and air assets without sustaining ground presence in the country. Traders assess future entry risks against ongoing US priorities on oil sector stabilization, sanctions adjustments, and regional security cooperation, alongside Venezuelan internal developments and potential diplomatic or congressional constraints on further actions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Venezuela reached a peak with the January 3, 2026, special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas before withdrawing within hours, amid prior naval deployments and counter-narcotics strikes in the Caribbean. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency under a declared state of emergency, while the United States maintains regional naval and air assets without sustaining ground presence in the country. Traders assess future entry risks against ongoing US priorities on oil sector stabilization, sanctions adjustments, and regional security cooperation, alongside Venezuelan internal developments and potential diplomatic or congressional constraints on further actions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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