Official meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C today, June 10, driven by persistent overcast skies, passing showers, and moderate northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. European and global ensemble models show strong consensus on this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June when highs average near 22°C but cooler, unstable conditions prevail. The market-implied odds reflect this tight agreement in observational data and short-range guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures. An unexpected break in cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation or a sharper-than-expected cold front could push readings higher or lower, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日華沙的最高溫度?
19°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,970 交易量
$50,970 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$50,970 交易量
$50,970 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C today, June 10, driven by persistent overcast skies, passing showers, and moderate northwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. European and global ensemble models show strong consensus on this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June when highs average near 22°C but cooler, unstable conditions prevail. The market-implied odds reflect this tight agreement in observational data and short-range guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures. An unexpected break in cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation or a sharper-than-expected cold front could push readings higher or lower, though current model runs assign low probability to such deviations before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions