Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a Seoul minimum near 19–20°C on June 14 amid mostly cloudy skies and rising humidity from the approaching East Asian monsoon (Changma). These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects from Seoul’s dense built environment further elevate nighttime readings relative to rural baselines, while light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea adds modest warm-air advection. Ensemble model spreads and potential for localized clearing introduce the small probability mass at 18°C or below. Updated KMA guidance and global model runs this evening will likely refine the final distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日首爾最低溫度?
21°C 40%
19°C 26%
18°C 1.9%
16°C <1%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
40%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 40%
19°C 26%
18°C 1.9%
16°C <1%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
40%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a Seoul minimum near 19–20°C on June 14 amid mostly cloudy skies and rising humidity from the approaching East Asian monsoon (Changma). These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 19–21°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects from Seoul’s dense built environment further elevate nighttime readings relative to rural baselines, while light southerly flow off the Yellow Sea adds modest warm-air advection. Ensemble model spreads and potential for localized clearing introduce the small probability mass at 18°C or below. Updated KMA guidance and global model runs this evening will likely refine the final distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions