Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles centers Helsinki's June 15 maximum near 16–18 °C, with 17 °C attracting the strongest market-implied probability. Key differentiating factors include modest spread in numerical weather prediction runs driven by variable cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light easterly flow over the moderating Baltic Sea, which limits daytime warming compared with inland sites. Mid-June climatology supports highs around 17–19 °C, but short-range model updates and boundary-layer moisture can easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, with limited time remaining for significant pattern shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15?
17°C 39%
18°C 31%
16°C 18%
19°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
18%
17°C
39%
18°C
31%
19°C
11%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 39%
18°C 31%
16°C 18%
19°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
18%
17°C
39%
18°C
31%
19°C
11%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles centers Helsinki's June 15 maximum near 16–18 °C, with 17 °C attracting the strongest market-implied probability. Key differentiating factors include modest spread in numerical weather prediction runs driven by variable cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and light easterly flow over the moderating Baltic Sea, which limits daytime warming compared with inland sites. Mid-June climatology supports highs around 17–19 °C, but short-range model updates and boundary-layer moisture can easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, with limited time remaining for significant pattern shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题