Official meteorological observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute confirm that Helsinki’s maximum temperature on May 16 reached 19 °C, anchoring the market-implied probability for this exact threshold at essentially 100 %. Synoptic station data and quality-controlled hourly readings show no exceedance of the next higher bin, consistent with the prevailing cool northerly flow and limited daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology for the Helsinki region places average daily maxima near 15–17 °C, so the observed value represents a modest positive anomaly yet remains well below thresholds that would shift the distribution. Minor post-processing adjustments to the official record remain possible but are statistically rare once preliminary data have been released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$63,158 交易量
$63,158 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$63,158 交易量
$63,158 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official meteorological observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute confirm that Helsinki’s maximum temperature on May 16 reached 19 °C, anchoring the market-implied probability for this exact threshold at essentially 100 %. Synoptic station data and quality-controlled hourly readings show no exceedance of the next higher bin, consistent with the prevailing cool northerly flow and limited daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology for the Helsinki region places average daily maxima near 15–17 °C, so the observed value represents a modest positive anomaly yet remains well below thresholds that would shift the distribution. Minor post-processing adjustments to the official record remain possible but are statistically rare once preliminary data have been released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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