Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,847 交易量
$49,847 交易量
2026-06-09
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,847 交易量
$49,847 交易量
2026-06-09
24°C or below
$2,393 交易量
No
25°C
$2,489 交易量
No
26°C
$5,697 交易量
No
27°C
$9,720 交易量
No
28°C
$7,437 交易量
No
29°C
$7,384 交易量
Yes
30°C
$5,933 交易量
No
31°C
$6,270 交易量
No
32°C
$1,726 交易量
No
33°C
$448 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$348 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$49,847结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,847结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from meteorological models, including AccuWeather guidance projecting Warsaw highs up to 28.9°C, have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 29°C peak for June 9. This aligns with regional atmospheric patterns featuring warmer southerly flow and limited cloud cover expected to support daytime warming near the upper end of June climatological norms (typically 22–24°C). Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range, with minimal spread that would shift the daily maximum outside the 29°C resolution threshold. A sudden increase in convective activity or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could cap temperatures one or two degrees lower, though current steering patterns make substantial downward revisions unlikely before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题