Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon (D) commands trader consensus at 93% to win reelection in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, a safely Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, where she captured 65% in 2024 amid strong suburban Delaware County support. Facing Republican Nick Manganaro—who holds zero cash on hand compared to Scanlon's $400,000—in the November 3 general election, both candidates advanced through uncontested primaries on May 19, reflecting the absence of serious intra-party challenges. Scanlon's consistent double-digit margins, unopposed Democratic primaries since 2022, and the district's 64% Kamala Harris vote in 2024 solidify her position. Realistic shifts would require a late-breaking scandal, personal health event, or extraordinary Republican midterm wave overturning historical safe-seat incumbency rates above 95%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,557 交易量
$21,557 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$21,557 交易量
$21,557 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,275 交易量
93%
共和党
$12,282 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon (D) commands trader consensus at 93% to win reelection in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, a safely Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, where she captured 65% in 2024 amid strong suburban Delaware County support. Facing Republican Nick Manganaro—who holds zero cash on hand compared to Scanlon's $400,000—in the November 3 general election, both candidates advanced through uncontested primaries on May 19, reflecting the absence of serious intra-party challenges. Scanlon's consistent double-digit margins, unopposed Democratic primaries since 2022, and the district's 64% Kamala Harris vote in 2024 solidify her position. Realistic shifts would require a late-breaking scandal, personal health event, or extraordinary Republican midterm wave overturning historical safe-seat incumbency rates above 95%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$21,557结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon (D) commands trader consensus at 93% to win reelection in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, a safely Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, where she captured 65% in 2024 amid strong suburban Delaware County support. Facing Republican Nick Manganaro—who holds zero cash on hand compared to Scanlon's $400,000—in the November 3 general election, both candidates advanced through uncontested primaries on May 19, reflecting the absence of serious intra-party challenges. Scanlon's consistent double-digit margins, unopposed Democratic primaries since 2022, and the district's 64% Kamala Harris vote in 2024 solidify her position. Realistic shifts would require a late-breaking scandal, personal health event, or extraordinary Republican midterm wave overturning historical safe-seat incumbency rates above 95%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,557结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon (D) commands trader consensus at 93% to win reelection in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, a safely Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, where she captured 65% in 2024 amid strong suburban Delaware County support. Facing Republican Nick Manganaro—who holds zero cash on hand compared to Scanlon's $400,000—in the November 3 general election, both candidates advanced through uncontested primaries on May 19, reflecting the absence of serious intra-party challenges. Scanlon's consistent double-digit margins, unopposed Democratic primaries since 2022, and the district's 64% Kamala Harris vote in 2024 solidify her position. Realistic shifts would require a late-breaking scandal, personal health event, or extraordinary Republican midterm wave overturning historical safe-seat incumbency rates above 95%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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