Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scanlon’s unopposed primary, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from party organizations reinforce her position in this solidly Democratic suburban Philadelphia area covering Delaware County and parts of Montgomery County. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. A late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or a primary upset in a future cycle could narrow the margin, though current structural and candidate factors make such shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,066 交易量
$33,066 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$33,066 交易量
$33,066 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$9,583 交易量
94%
共和党
$23,483 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scanlon’s unopposed primary, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from party organizations reinforce her position in this solidly Democratic suburban Philadelphia area covering Delaware County and parts of Montgomery County. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. A late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or a primary upset in a future cycle could narrow the margin, though current structural and candidate factors make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$33,066结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scanlon’s unopposed primary, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from party organizations reinforce her position in this solidly Democratic suburban Philadelphia area covering Delaware County and parts of Montgomery County. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. A late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or a primary upset in a future cycle could narrow the margin, though current structural and candidate factors make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,066结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Scanlon’s unopposed primary, substantial fundraising lead, and endorsements from party organizations reinforce her position in this solidly Democratic suburban Philadelphia area covering Delaware County and parts of Montgomery County. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. A late personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican national environment, or a primary upset in a future cycle could narrow the margin, though current structural and candidate factors make such shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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