USGS data shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the April 20, 2026, M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, now 23 days ago, amid a period of relative seismic quiet over the past 30 days. Globally, such events average 15–20 annually—roughly one every 18 days—driven by tectonic plate interactions along major fault lines like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term occurrences remain inherently unpredictable due to the random nature of seismic strain release. Traders monitor real-time USGS feeds for any escalation in foreshock activity or regional clusters; upcoming daily catalog updates through May 30 could signal shifts, though no specific precursors are evident. Historical patterns underscore baseline probability without reliable forecasting models.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$23,592 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 15
15%
May 30
51%
$23,592 Vol.
May 15
$2,700 Vol.
15%
May 30
$7,644 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the April 20, 2026, M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, now 23 days ago, amid a period of relative seismic quiet over the past 30 days. Globally, such events average 15–20 annually—roughly one every 18 days—driven by tectonic plate interactions along major fault lines like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term occurrences remain inherently unpredictable due to the random nature of seismic strain release. Traders monitor real-time USGS feeds for any escalation in foreshock activity or regional clusters; upcoming daily catalog updates through May 30 could signal shifts, though no specific precursors are evident. Historical patterns underscore baseline probability without reliable forecasting models.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$23,592End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the April 20, 2026, M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, now 23 days ago, amid a period of relative seismic quiet over the past 30 days. Globally, such events average 15–20 annually—roughly one every 18 days—driven by tectonic plate interactions along major fault lines like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term occurrences remain inherently unpredictable due to the random nature of seismic strain release. Traders monitor real-time USGS feeds for any escalation in foreshock activity or regional clusters; upcoming daily catalog updates through May 30 could signal shifts, though no specific precursors are evident. Historical patterns underscore baseline probability without reliable forecasting models.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$23,592End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...USGS data shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the April 20, 2026, M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, now 23 days ago, amid a period of relative seismic quiet over the past 30 days. Globally, such events average 15–20 annually—roughly one every 18 days—driven by tectonic plate interactions along major fault lines like the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term occurrences remain inherently unpredictable due to the random nature of seismic strain release. Traders monitor real-time USGS feeds for any escalation in foreshock activity or regional clusters; upcoming daily catalog updates through May 30 could signal shifts, though no specific precursors are evident. Historical patterns underscore baseline probability without reliable forecasting models.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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