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Politics·Global Elections

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

icon for B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Caroline Elliott 77%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 12.8%

Yuri Fulmer 6.2%

Iain Black 4.3%

Polymarket

$169,750 Vol.

Caroline Elliott 77%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 12.8%

Yuri Fulmer 6.2%

Iain Black 4.3%

Polymarket

$169,750 Vol.

icon for Caroline Elliott

Caroline Elliott

$45,585 Vol.

77%

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$21,289 Vol.

13%

icon for Yuri Fulmer

Yuri Fulmer

$21,701 Vol.

6%

icon for Iain Black

Iain Black

$19,291 Vol.

4%

icon for Peter Milobar

Peter Milobar

$19,584 Vol.

4%

icon for Harman Bhangu

Harman Bhangu

$13,326 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Banman

Bruce Banman

$12,001 Vol.

<1%

icon for Warren Hamm

Warren Hamm

$8,423 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darrell Jones

Darrell Jones

$8,551 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.**Caroline Elliott's 77% implied probability in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership race reflects trader consensus on her frontrunner status among 42,000 eligible members voting via preferential ballot from May 9 to May 30.** A May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members showed her leading at 31% on first preferences, ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay (24%) and Iain Black (18%), with high ballot exhaustion likely boosting her in later rounds due to personal charisma, superior fundraising, and broad appeal. Recent final debates highlighted policy clashes on DRIPA repeal and foreign worker restrictions, while controversies over Elliott's BC United ties and a skipped independent debate have not eroded her edge, as Findlay gains modest support from purist voters and others trail. Identity verification via a U.S. firm has sparked minor procedural concerns, but voting momentum favors the perceived unifier against the NDP.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$169,750
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.**Caroline Elliott's 77% implied probability in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership race reflects trader consensus on her frontrunner status among 42,000 eligible members voting via preferential ballot from May 9 to May 30.** A May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members showed her leading at 31% on first preferences, ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay (24%) and Iain Black (18%), with high ballot exhaustion likely boosting her in later rounds due to personal charisma, superior fundraising, and broad appeal. Recent final debates highlighted policy clashes on DRIPA repeal and foreign worker restrictions, while controversies over Elliott's BC United ties and a skipped independent debate have not eroded her edge, as Findlay gains modest support from purist voters and others trail. Identity verification via a U.S. firm has sparked minor procedural concerns, but voting momentum favors the perceived unifier against the NDP.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$169,750
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Caroline Elliott" at 77%, followed by "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" has generated $169.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" is "Caroline Elliott" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.