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icon for Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner

Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner

icon for Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner

Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner

Daniel Gobeil 100.0%

Régis Gaudreault <1%

Caroline Dubé <1%

Polymarket

$138,565 Vol.

Daniel Gobeil 100.0%

Régis Gaudreault <1%

Caroline Dubé <1%

Polymarket

$138,565 Vol.

icon for Régis Gaudreault

Régis Gaudreault

$26,971 Vol.

No

icon for Caroline Dubé

Caroline Dubé

$53,424 Vol.

No

icon for Daniel Gobeil

Daniel Gobeil

$58,170 Vol.

Yes

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Daniel Gobeil secured the commanding position in the Chicoutimi—Le Fjord federal by-election through decisive voter support on August 31, 2026, capturing over 51 percent of the vote compared to roughly 33 percent for the Bloc Québécois candidate and 12-13 percent for the Conservative. His background as a local dairy farmer and former head of Quebec dairy producers associations aligned with regional priorities around supply management and agricultural stability, while the Liberal campaign under Prime Minister Mark Carney emphasized economic investment and affordability in the Saguenay riding. The seat became vacant after the prior Conservative MP resigned for a Senate appointment, shifting the contest from a narrow three-way race in the previous general election. Official results leave limited room for reversal, though formal recounts or procedural challenges remain possible in close Canadian by-elections before final certification.

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Volume
$138,565
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Daniel Gobeil secured the commanding position in the Chicoutimi—Le Fjord federal by-election through decisive voter support on August 31, 2026, capturing over 51 percent of the vote compared to roughly 33 percent for the Bloc Québécois candidate and 12-13 percent for the Conservative. His background as a local dairy farmer and former head of Quebec dairy producers associations aligned with regional priorities around supply management and agricultural stability, while the Liberal campaign under Prime Minister Mark Carney emphasized economic investment and affordability in the Saguenay riding. The seat became vacant after the prior Conservative MP resigned for a Senate appointment, shifting the contest from a narrow three-way race in the previous general election. Official results leave limited room for reversal, though formal recounts or procedural challenges remain possible in close Canadian by-elections before final certification.

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Volume
$138,565
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Daniel Gobeil" at 100%, followed by "Régis Gaudreault" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner" has generated $138.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner" is "Daniel Gobeil" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Régis Gaudreault" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.