United Russia holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election market due to its decisive performance in the September 18–20 voting, which coincided with Russia's national parliamentary elections. Preliminary results after full protocol processing showed the party securing approximately 62.7% of the party-list vote in the region alongside a strong single-member district lead, building on its prior control of 11 of 15 seats and consistent regional dominance through established candidate slates and voter turnout patterns around 60%. Other parties including LDPR, CPRF, and A Just Russia trailed significantly in both proportional and constituency results. While final seat allocation and official certification could introduce minor adjustments, the margin makes a shift in the leading party highly improbable absent unforeseen procedural reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 98.0%
CPRF <1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,991 Vol.
$10,991 Vol.
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
98%
CPRF
1%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 98.0%
CPRF <1%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,991 Vol.
$10,991 Vol.
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
$5,847 Vol.
98%
CPRF
$2,132 Vol.
1%
LDPR
$857 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
New People
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election market due to its decisive performance in the September 18–20 voting, which coincided with Russia's national parliamentary elections. Preliminary results after full protocol processing showed the party securing approximately 62.7% of the party-list vote in the region alongside a strong single-member district lead, building on its prior control of 11 of 15 seats and consistent regional dominance through established candidate slates and voter turnout patterns around 60%. Other parties including LDPR, CPRF, and A Just Russia trailed significantly in both proportional and constituency results. While final seat allocation and official certification could introduce minor adjustments, the margin makes a shift in the leading party highly improbable absent unforeseen procedural reversals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$10,991End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election market due to its decisive performance in the September 18–20 voting, which coincided with Russia's national parliamentary elections. Preliminary results after full protocol processing showed the party securing approximately 62.7% of the party-list vote in the region alongside a strong single-member district lead, building on its prior control of 11 of 15 seats and consistent regional dominance through established candidate slates and voter turnout patterns around 60%. Other parties including LDPR, CPRF, and A Just Russia trailed significantly in both proportional and constituency results. While final seat allocation and official certification could introduce minor adjustments, the margin makes a shift in the leading party highly improbable absent unforeseen procedural reversals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$10,991End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Duma election market due to its decisive performance in the September 18–20 voting, which coincided with Russia's national parliamentary elections. Preliminary results after full protocol processing showed the party securing approximately 62.7% of the party-list vote in the region alongside a strong single-member district lead, building on its prior control of 11 of 15 seats and consistent regional dominance through established candidate slates and voter turnout patterns around 60%. Other parties including LDPR, CPRF, and A Just Russia trailed significantly in both proportional and constituency results. While final seat allocation and official certification could introduce minor adjustments, the margin makes a shift in the leading party highly improbable absent unforeseen procedural reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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