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icon for Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner

icon for Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner

Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner

Jeff Beattie 100.0%

Heino Doessing <1%

Monique Taylor <1%

Pascale Marchand <1%

Polymarket

$81,680 Vol.

Jeff Beattie 100.0%

Heino Doessing <1%

Monique Taylor <1%

Pascale Marchand <1%

Polymarket

$81,680 Vol.

icon for Jeff Beattie

Jeff Beattie

$20,144 Vol.

Yes

icon for Heino Doessing

Heino Doessing

$28,928 Vol.

No

icon for Monique Taylor

Monique Taylor

$27,444 Vol.

No

icon for Pascale Marchand

Pascale Marchand

$1,867 Vol.

No

icon for Heather Curnew

Heather Curnew

$1,739 Vol.

No

icon for Wieslawa Derlatka

Wieslawa Derlatka

$1,558 Vol.

No

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Jeff Beattie secured the Hamilton East—Stoney Creek seat for the Progressive Conservatives in the September 3, 2026 by-election triggered by Neil Lumsden’s retirement. As the sitting Ward 10 councillor and local business owner, Beattie benefited from established name recognition in the riding, which the PCs have held since 2022. Party resources, including Premier Doug Ford’s involvement in get-out-the-vote efforts, supported his campaign focused on affordability, jobs, and infrastructure. Final results showed Beattie at 38.87 percent, ahead of NDP candidate Monique Taylor at 32.90 percent and Liberal Heino Doessing at 23.45 percent. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Beattie reflects these verified outcomes, though official certification or any late procedural adjustments could still affect resolution timing.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Volume
$81,680
End Date
Sep 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Jeff Beattie secured the Hamilton East—Stoney Creek seat for the Progressive Conservatives in the September 3, 2026 by-election triggered by Neil Lumsden’s retirement. As the sitting Ward 10 councillor and local business owner, Beattie benefited from established name recognition in the riding, which the PCs have held since 2022. Party resources, including Premier Doug Ford’s involvement in get-out-the-vote efforts, supported his campaign focused on affordability, jobs, and infrastructure. Final results showed Beattie at 38.87 percent, ahead of NDP candidate Monique Taylor at 32.90 percent and Liberal Heino Doessing at 23.45 percent. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Beattie reflects these verified outcomes, though official certification or any late procedural adjustments could still affect resolution timing.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Volume
$81,680
End Date
Sep 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeff Beattie" at 100%, followed by "Heino Doessing" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" has generated $81.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" is "Jeff Beattie" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Heino Doessing" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.