Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on May 17 point to a daytime high near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity, positioning the 88-89°F bin as the clear market leader at 47.5%. This aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region, where average highs climb toward 85-87°F amid strengthening subtropical flow, though model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around potential afternoon heating or scattered showers that could cap readings in the mid-80s. Traders are also pricing a 15.5% chance for 90-91°F if clearer skies allow greater insolation, while lower outcomes below 85°F remain unlikely given current surface observations and guidance from NOAA’s short-range models.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
88-89°F 44%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 6.3%
$37,732 Vol.
$37,732 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
16%
92°F or higher
3%
88-89°F 44%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 6.3%
$37,732 Vol.
$37,732 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
16%
92°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on May 17 point to a daytime high near 88°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity, positioning the 88-89°F bin as the clear market leader at 47.5%. This aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region, where average highs climb toward 85-87°F amid strengthening subtropical flow, though model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around potential afternoon heating or scattered showers that could cap readings in the mid-80s. Traders are also pricing a 15.5% chance for 90-91°F if clearer skies allow greater insolation, while lower outcomes below 85°F remain unlikely given current surface observations and guidance from NOAA’s short-range models.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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