National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$63,161 Vol.
$63,161 Vol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$63,161 Vol.
$63,161 Vol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$15,329 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,226 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,668 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,261 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,104 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$7,121 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$4,166 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,239 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,152 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$7,032 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$63,161End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$63,161End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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