Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (39%) and 35°C (36%) for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 14, driven by BMKG and international forecasts like AccuWeather projecting daytime peaks near 34°C (93°F) under partly cloudy skies with 90%+ humidity and possible afternoon thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in densely built areas versus potential convective suppression from stray showers, with model ensembles showing slight spread amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño—favoring drier, warmer anomalies above May's 32°C climatological average. Recent observations hit 34°C+ in late April, but persistent cloudiness caps upside risk; monitor BMKG station data (e.g., Halim) for final resolution post-midnight May 15.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
34°C 44%
35°C 34%
33°C 16%
36°C 8%
$20,586 Vol.
$20,586 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
44%
35°C
34%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 34%
33°C 16%
36°C 8%
$20,586 Vol.
$20,586 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
44%
35°C
34%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (39%) and 35°C (36%) for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 14, driven by BMKG and international forecasts like AccuWeather projecting daytime peaks near 34°C (93°F) under partly cloudy skies with 90%+ humidity and possible afternoon thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in densely built areas versus potential convective suppression from stray showers, with model ensembles showing slight spread amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño—favoring drier, warmer anomalies above May's 32°C climatological average. Recent observations hit 34°C+ in late April, but persistent cloudiness caps upside risk; monitor BMKG station data (e.g., Halim) for final resolution post-midnight May 15.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions