Trader consensus favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 14 at 51.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest BMKG forecasts projecting daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies amid the seasonal transition to drier conditions that enhance solar insolation. Recent observations from early May recorded peaks over 35°C in greater Jakarta, reflecting persistent heat from high humidity, urban heat island effects, and reduced cloud cover, while international models like those from AccuWeather corroborate ranges up to 34°C. Afternoon showers remain a risk per BMKG's weekly outlook for May 12–18, potentially limiting peaks, with official resolution hinging on verified measurements from Halim Perdanakusuma station; monitor BMKG hourly updates through midday for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
34°C 54%
35°C 29%
33°C 15%
36°C 7%
$21,111 Vol.
$21,111 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
54%
35°C
29%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
35°C 29%
33°C 15%
36°C 7%
$21,111 Vol.
$21,111 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
54%
35°C
29%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 14 at 51.5% implied probability, aligned with the latest BMKG forecasts projecting daytime highs of 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies amid the seasonal transition to drier conditions that enhance solar insolation. Recent observations from early May recorded peaks over 35°C in greater Jakarta, reflecting persistent heat from high humidity, urban heat island effects, and reduced cloud cover, while international models like those from AccuWeather corroborate ranges up to 34°C. Afternoon showers remain a risk per BMKG's weekly outlook for May 12–18, potentially limiting peaks, with official resolution hinging on verified measurements from Halim Perdanakusuma station; monitor BMKG hourly updates through midday for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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