Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles on May 16 recorded a daily high temperature in the 68-69°F range, consistent with ensemble forecast models that projected stable springtime conditions under a weak high-pressure ridge and light marine layer influence. This outcome aligns with regional climatology, where May daytime maxima typically cluster in the upper 60s absent strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Trader positioning reflects this verified data release, with minimal odds on higher thresholds due to the absence of heat advection or clear-sky intensification signals in recent model runs. Resolution criteria based on official station readings leave little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at primary monitoring sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$57,794 Vol.
$57,794 Vol.
May 16, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$57,794 Vol.
$57,794 Vol.
May 16, 2026
53°F or below
$1,395 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$791 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,017 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,882 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,222 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,768 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,939 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$8,871 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$16,285 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$6,716 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$7,909 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles on May 16 recorded a daily high temperature in the 68-69°F range, consistent with ensemble forecast models that projected stable springtime conditions under a weak high-pressure ridge and light marine layer influence. This outcome aligns with regional climatology, where May daytime maxima typically cluster in the upper 60s absent strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Trader positioning reflects this verified data release, with minimal odds on higher thresholds due to the absence of heat advection or clear-sky intensification signals in recent model runs. Resolution criteria based on official station readings leave little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at primary monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$57,794End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles on May 16 recorded a daily high temperature in the 68-69°F range, consistent with ensemble forecast models that projected stable springtime conditions under a weak high-pressure ridge and light marine layer influence. This outcome aligns with regional climatology, where May daytime maxima typically cluster in the upper 60s absent strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Trader positioning reflects this verified data release, with minimal odds on higher thresholds due to the absence of heat advection or clear-sky intensification signals in recent model runs. Resolution criteria based on official station readings leave little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at primary monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,794End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles on May 16 recorded a daily high temperature in the 68-69°F range, consistent with ensemble forecast models that projected stable springtime conditions under a weak high-pressure ridge and light marine layer influence. This outcome aligns with regional climatology, where May daytime maxima typically cluster in the upper 60s absent strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Trader positioning reflects this verified data release, with minimal odds on higher thresholds due to the absence of heat advection or clear-sky intensification signals in recent model runs. Resolution criteria based on official station readings leave little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur at primary monitoring sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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