Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with IMD forecasts indicating isolated heavy rainfall and widespread cloud cover through August 6, are the main driver positioning 29–31°C as the dominant outcomes in the Lucknow highest-temperature market. Recent observations show daily maxima near 29–33°C amid enhanced precipitation and humidity, which suppress daytime heating compared to pre-monsoon periods. Model consensus favors continued steering patterns that sustain these moderating effects, limiting upside risk above 32°C while keeping sub-28°C scenarios unlikely absent unusual cooling. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 6?
30°C 43%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
$15,875 Vol.
$15,875 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
43%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 43%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
$15,875 Vol.
$15,875 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
43%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with IMD forecasts indicating isolated heavy rainfall and widespread cloud cover through August 6, are the main driver positioning 29–31°C as the dominant outcomes in the Lucknow highest-temperature market. Recent observations show daily maxima near 29–33°C amid enhanced precipitation and humidity, which suppress daytime heating compared to pre-monsoon periods. Model consensus favors continued steering patterns that sustain these moderating effects, limiting upside risk above 32°C while keeping sub-28°C scenarios unlikely absent unusual cooling. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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