India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 37.3°C on May 14, 2026—2.5°C below normal—under clear skies with trace rainfall in the prior 24 hours, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 39°C or below outcome as the market nears resolution based on official airport station data. This aligns with IMD's pre-day forecast of 37°C max amid dry conditions and below-seasonal heat following early May rains that suppressed peaks. While measurement protocols ensure reliability, a rare instrument recalibration or audit could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such revisions under 0.5°C and favor the recorded value. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 100.0%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$27,781 Vol.
$27,781 Vol.
39°C or below
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
39°C or below 100.0%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$27,781 Vol.
$27,781 Vol.
39°C or below
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 37.3°C on May 14, 2026—2.5°C below normal—under clear skies with trace rainfall in the prior 24 hours, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 39°C or below outcome as the market nears resolution based on official airport station data. This aligns with IMD's pre-day forecast of 37°C max amid dry conditions and below-seasonal heat following early May rains that suppressed peaks. While measurement protocols ensure reliability, a rare instrument recalibration or audit could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such revisions under 0.5°C and favor the recorded value. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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